Tuesday, February 24, 2015

The Monk who values, Stocks!!!

Year 2008 to 2010: As a Student Profile: Trading Analyst

Year 2010 to present: Job Profile: Rating Analyst

Year 2015 to forever: Value Investor

This isn't a journey from being a Trading Analyst to a Rating Analyst, rather a convoluted one of a trading analyst transforming into a combo of a rating analyst and a value investor. The year 2010 showcased me my latent curiosity towards stock markets, the time when I was otherwise booked by post-grad books.  I ventured into the arena of lure for stocks, lust for bull market and love of the money earned through trading. Money though was never the ultimate factor for my trading quest; it was rather an urge to know more about varied companies, to talk more about different managements at helm and to discuss the successes & failures with friends.  

The fallacies

The trading strategy during the college days was engineered with a flawed design of three Fs; the search for only the fashionable stocks, the ‘follow the crowd’ approach, and the fear of not wanting to lose even a penny. This only resulted in a fourth fallacy of nature, ‘F***, I’m screwed!!!’ 


The widely traded blue chip stocks aka fashionable stocks did not eliminate the chance to make profits, but clearly this strategy ensured all likelihood to not discover diamonds buried deep inside a colliery yet to be unearthed. The second most important factor was the approach to follow the crowd. In a perfect market hypothesis, with innumerable investors following the fashion stocks, where it was impossible at one end to extract a better price appreciation from the stock, this approach on the other end also guaranteed gambling your money on advise of people who doesn't matter!!! The third fallacy was the fear of fear to lose money. This fear ensured no development of risk appetite for me as an investor.

The Trading Monk

What started the stock market expedition for me was the search for a path to trade on opportunities, to make as much as possible, and to live without fear in a constant wave of nervousness. Alas, only to realise the path is well crowded and nobody is sure where it leads to: hell or heaven for a monk!!!


The journey in 2010 took this monk on a path though defined by others, but less travelled, a path where the chances of success & failure were equal yet people failed, and a path where patience is the fuel to reach the goal.

Landing a job as a rating analyst helped me learn the concepts to analyze companies, the management, the financials, valuations, and the credibility of projections. This further helped me to start looking for the Companies not known to people, yet are popular among other monks, the Companies which made the old monks drunk (pun intended), and the Companies which made the great ‘Oracles of Omaha’!!!

From a Trading Monk to The Valuing Monk

Value investment is all about finding the strong companies with a long term view that are trading well below their intrinsic value. And it is actually not as easy as it may sound. Though an amateur in this field of investment, but with an experience of almost five years in the fight against losses, I would start analyzing companies I believe in and share here through my blog. Hope this monk is able to let other souls be freed from the shackles of loss and proceed to a path of glory.

Disclaimer:

The great Morpheus from the movie Matrix tells Neo: “I'm trying to free your mind, Neo. But I can only show you the door. You're the one that has to walk through it.” Learn from the mistakes of others, not always you need to commit one to learn. So, do make informed decisions and never ever get inspired by what others have to say, just believe in self, that’s the best advise you’ll get from your soul who knows you the most/best and wants you to be free (and not high). And this investment approach is only worth every penny if a stock or a script is viewed as a manifestation of the company. Or rather I may say, stock is a derivative like instrument having base as the Company itself. Plainly buying a stock is different from buying a stock in form of piece of a business you believe in, the management you trust and the product you endorse.


See you guys soon, take care and happy investing!!!